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Decision Rule, Belief and Strategy

AUTHOR Teng Jimmy
PUBLISHER LAP Lambert Academic Publishing (02/20/2013)
PRODUCT TYPE Paperback (Paperback)

Description
The book studies the question of how to make statistical analysis in games. It introduces a new equilibrium concept for games with incomplete information and noisy inaccurate observation of action: Bayesian rational prior equilibrium. A rational prior belief correctly predicts the strategy of a player given his type. The rational prior Bayesian decision rule is an un-dominated decision rule for its makes efficient use of all available information, including the information on the type and the information on the action of the other players. When all players use the rational prior Bayesian decision rule, the game is in its Bayesian rational prior equilibrium and achieves rationality in action/strategy, beliefs (both prior and posterior) and decision rule as well as consistency between beliefs and equilibrium strategies/actions. Four applications illustrate the properties of the Bayesian rational prior equilibrium and the method of solving games and doing formal analysis: a market leadership game, a statistical discrimination model, an inflationary belief game and an arms race model.
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Product Details
ISBN-13: 9783848421688
ISBN-10: 3848421682
Binding: Paperback or Softback (Trade Paperback (Us))
Content Language: English
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Page Count: 228
Carton Quantity: 36
Product Dimensions: 6.00 x 0.52 x 9.00 inches
Weight: 0.75 pound(s)
Country of Origin: US
Subject Information
BISAC Categories
Mathematics | General
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publisher marketing
The book studies the question of how to make statistical analysis in games. It introduces a new equilibrium concept for games with incomplete information and noisy inaccurate observation of action: Bayesian rational prior equilibrium. A rational prior belief correctly predicts the strategy of a player given his type. The rational prior Bayesian decision rule is an un-dominated decision rule for its makes efficient use of all available information, including the information on the type and the information on the action of the other players. When all players use the rational prior Bayesian decision rule, the game is in its Bayesian rational prior equilibrium and achieves rationality in action/strategy, beliefs (both prior and posterior) and decision rule as well as consistency between beliefs and equilibrium strategies/actions. Four applications illustrate the properties of the Bayesian rational prior equilibrium and the method of solving games and doing formal analysis: a market leadership game, a statistical discrimination model, an inflationary belief game and an arms race model.
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Paperback